Talbs & His Theories

Week 15 Picks

It’s Christmas Eve and temperatures are expected to be in the 60s. I’m sure that’s a problem for scientific reasons, but I’m going to enjoy it. My Christmas gift to you is a week of mediocre picks. Merry Christmas!

Chargers at Raiders (-6)

When was the last time Oakland was favored by nearly a touchdown in a divisional game? Feels like never. San Diego’s offensive line is in shambles which should help the Raiders’ defense pressure Phillip Rivers. I still think the line is too high, however. Raiders 23-20.

Redskins at Eagles (-3)

Washington has only won once on the road, but appear to be the best of a bad bunch in the NFC East. That division seems to go down to the last day every year which means Philly will find a way to win. Look for a big day from Ryan Mathews to lead the way. Eagles 24-20.

Bears at Bucs (-3)

Does anyone really care about this game? Outside of Alshon Jeffrey’s fantasy impact, I don’t. Both teams have struggled down the stretch, but Tampa seems to have the advantage with its running game. Bucs 24-17.

Panthers (-7) at Falcons

Carolina absolutely demolished Atlanta two weeks ago and not much has changed in that time. The Panthers will still be without Jonathan Stewart, but that didn’t phase them a week ago. Panthers 27-17.

Cowboys at Bills (-6)

Buffalo keeps drawing me in, but I’m finally ready to call them a disappointment. This team appears to have plenty of talent, but can’t seem to get it done. As for Dallas, welcome to the Kellen Moore era. He can’t be worse than Matt Cassel, right? Bills 21-17.

49ers at Lions (-9.5)

San Francisco is easily run on and Detroit has gone over 100 yards on the ground in five straight. Expect a heavy dose of Joique Bell with a little Matthew Stafford sprinkled in. Lions 27-17.

Browns at Chiefs (-12)

Johnny Manziel wasn’t nearly as effective in Seattle as he was in the victory over San Francisco a week earlier. Expect him to be somewhere in between the two this week. Kansas City will have no problem winning this game, but I think Cleveland gets a late cover. Chiefs 27-17.

Colts at Dolphins (-2.5)

Indy has been really, really bad over the last three weeks. Miami has been bad for most of the season. I expect Frank Gore to finally be a factor and for the Colts to find a win. Colts 23-17.

Patriots (-3) at Jets

If you’re a Patriots fan, it’s tough not to like this line. The simple truth is the Jets aren’t particularly good and the Pats need the win. That should be enough for you. Patriots 27-17.

Texans at Titans (-4.5)

Somehow the AFC South leaders are getting points against a 3-11 Titans teams that is playing their backup quarterback. It makes no sense to me. Can’t wait to take Houston. Texans 23-17.

Steelers (-10) at Ravens

I’m in two fantasy championships this week and have Ben Roethlisberger in both leagues. I’m banking on a huge game from him and you should also. Steelers 34-14.

Jaguars at Saints (-3.5)

This one has the makings of a shootout. Hopefully you have several of these players on your fantasy teams this week (I will be riding Blake Bortles in the semifinals of a third league) as I think both teams could reach the 40s. New Orleans’ secondary is extremely vulnerable and Allen Robinson should have a huge day. Jaguars 44-42.

Packers at Cardinals (-4.5)

Will Green Bay stand up and fight or will Arizona continue its dominance? I think the Cardinals will jump out early, but that Aaron Rodgers will rally the troops to make this one interesting. Cardinals 34-31.

Rams at Seahawks (-13.5)

St. Louis has no chance in this one and I’m considering benching Todd Gurley in a league — that’s how bad I expect it to be. Russell Wilson is red hot and there’s no reason to expect that to be different. Seahawks 31-10.

Giants at Vikings (-6)

I’m still trying to figure out why NBC flexed this game into primetime and the decision only looks worse following the suspension of Odell Beckham. Look for Minnesota to take advantage of the Giants struggling defense and for Adrian Peterson to close it out. Vikings 31-24.

Bengals at Broncos (-3)

Three weeks ago this looked like an awesome game, but now it seems likely to disappoint. When will Denver turn back to Peyton Manning? It could happen if they lose this one. Here’s hoping for things to get interesting. Bengals 20-17.

Against the spread: 8-5-2 in Week 15, 108-104-6 overall

Straight up: 10-5 in Week 15, 132-86 overall

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